Service Plays Thursday 6/30/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Rx.com Mod Team has created this Service Play sub-forum in order to supply an area for Rx Service Play Posters to expand upon their posting topics without creating a logjam in the main forum where the three principle threads are maintained..

Posters can track services here if they care to but we will need any trackers to do so in an accurate and civil manner. We did not create this area for posters to ridicule or bash any services..

You can also discuss who is hot and who is not. The general state of the pay for plays industry and any other subject or topic related to service plays.

You can also create individual threads about specific services and discuss them freely but civilly. Again bashing and abusive treatment of any services will not be tolerated.

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.

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Lastly The Rx Moderators are appealing to you our everyday posters to report any promotional threads or posts that are made by services or individual touts. No links or contact information to an individual service will be allowed. Just the name of the service. Please report any threads or posts that are promotional attempts by services and touts to use this forum to promote themselves..

Posters can easily report a promotional post by using the triangular Report-a-Post Icon at the bottom left of all post boxes. The poster name of any poster who reports a post that is out of line will be kept strictly confidential.

I will leave this thread open for a month to take questions and do my best to answer them. I will check in daily but am off on Wednesday and Thursday.

I hope this additional Service Play Forum will satisfy those posters that would like to widen the scope of topics relating to service plays and the industry in general to have their own threads. Mods will be liberal as possible regarding topics but this forum was specifically created to allow you more freedom to express your ideas regarding service plays and related subject matter. No off topic threads will be allowed.

Thank you, wilheim




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Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim.......

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GL!

 

[BIGGEST-LOSER]

TMBsportspicks

Picking winners for over 11 years!!!

65% the last sixty days!

and up over 100 units!




Bonus Play 6/30



3:10pm(Chicago White Sox -105) 5 units


​

 

[BIGGEST-LOSER]

Carolina Sports Connection

Let's have a good Thursday!

1:05pm - Boston Red Sox +115 @ Philadelphia Phillies
Risk 10.0 units to Win 11.5 units

3:05pm - Chicago Whit Sox @ Colorado Rockies -105
Risk 10.5 units to Win 10.0 units

7:05pm - Pittsburgh Pirates +125 @ Toronto Blue Jays
Risk 4.0 units to Win 5.0 units

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB NEWS AND NOTES
Chicago White Sox, Rockies Conclude Coors Series
By Adam Markowitz

Chicago White Sox at Colorado Rockies (-105, 9.5)

A getaway matinee at Coors Field finds Jake Peavy facing Aaron Cook.

The Chicago White Sox and the Colorado Rockies are both sitting just below .500 near the halfway point of the MLB betting campaign, but both still think that they can make a second half run and get into the playoffs.

The two will meet against each other for the third and final time in this 3-game set on Thursday afternoon at Coors Field in Denver, CO. First pitch is slated to be at 12:10 p.m. (PT), and there will be live television coverage on Comcast Sports North and ROOT TV.

The most important factor in this game might be Mother Nature. Temperatures are expected to be hot with midday highs in the low-90s. Keep an eye on the wind, though. Winds are expected to be blowing out of the southwest 20-25 mph, which means that the ball will be flying out towards left-center field.

That wind could mean tourble for Chicago's Jake Peavy, the starting pitcher for manager Ozzie Guillen.

Peavy threw in relief in a 3-0 win over the Washington Nationals five days ago, striking out seven and allowing just one hit in four spotless frames. However, prior to that, he really didn't have his best stuff, and the end result is that he has a 4.23 ERA for the year.

The right-hander does a great job of limiting walks. He only has seven free passes issued in his 38 1/3 innings of work. However, he typically is allowing right around the same number of fly ball outs as ground ball outs.

Sure, that works fine at home on the mound at US Cellular Field, but when the ball gets up in the thin air in Denver with the winds blowing out, trouble could be coming.

Aaron Cook really does look overmatched in this battle on paper. After all, this right-hander is just 0-3 on the season with a 5.48 ERA, and he is coming off of a dud of a battle against the New York Yankees in which he allowed 12 hits and six runs in just 5 2/3 innings.

However, Mother Nature once again might be the equalizer. Cook is a lot more of a ground ball pitcher, and the White Sox are a lot more likely to try to get those sinking pitches up in the air. If Cook can keep his sinker and his fastball down, Chicago really could struggle at the plate in spite of the wind.

This series has already gotten off to a sour start for the White Sox. They were knocked off 3-2 in 13 innings on Tuesday night, and Guillen called the defeat the "worst of the year."

Thursday is getaway day for the White Sox, who have to travel back to the Windy City to take on the crosstown rival Cubs over the weekend. Colorado welcomes in the Kansas City Royals for a three-game weekend set at Coors Field.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's Streaking And Slumping Starting Pitchers

STREAKING

Justin Verlander (10-3, 2.38 ERA), Detroit Tigers

If you’re any sort of baseball bettor, you know Justin Verlander is as close to a sure thing as you can get right now.

He is 6-0 with a 0.72 ERA in his last six starts and he’s making it all look incredibly easy.

"I feel like I'm learning how to pitch better — learning how to use my stuff a little bit better," Verlander told reporters. "I feel like my fastball control this year has been a lot better than years previous, and I think that has a lot to do with the mentality that I've been taking out there — just nice and methodical, nice and easy the first few innings and establishing a rhythm."

Matt Cain (7-4, 3.22 ERA), San Francisco Giants

Cain is coming off another ho-hum seven-inning shutout that saw him blank the Indians while allowing just four hits. He struck out six and walked one.

Cain has sandwiched four great starts around one off outing. He gave up five runs against Arizona three starts ago but he hasn’t allowed more than a single run in the other four trips to the hill.

His WHIP checks in at 1.11 on the year.



SLUMPING

Aaron Cook (0-3, 5.48 ERA), Colorado Rockies

Cook hasn’t been able to find his trademark sinker since starting the season on the DL and it’s showing in his numbers.

He hasn’t won in four outings this season and he gave up a season-high 12 hits in his last start and ended up on the losing end of a 8-3 decision to the Yankees.

"I felt like I was making pitches early," Cook told reporters. "They just found a couple of holes, and then later in the game is when I started giving up the doubles."

Brian Matusz (1-3, 6.85 ERA), Baltimore Orioles

According to manager Buck Showalter, one of the main issues with Matusz is his confidence, which is a tough thing to get back when he’s allowed 14 runs over his last three starts.

Matusz was just drilled for six earned runs and three dingers in a 10-5 loss

"Obviously, psychologically and mentally, [he is not there]. Who is when you're struggling? But he's strong," Showalter said. "I think he has a real healthy respect for what you have to do to have success up here.”

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HOT LINES

Thursday Best MLB Bets

St. Louis Cardinals at Baltimore Orioles (-110, 9.5)

Wednesday was a tough day in the St. Louis clubhouse.

The Cards released former All-Star closer Ryan Franklin ahead of Wednesday night’s game and even though he was struggling on the mound, it’s a big loss to the organization.

When you look at how he's pitched and how he's performed, it was something that we could no longer try to ignore or keep trying to find innings for someone that became very inconsistent," general manager John Mozeliak said. "Ultimately, what we were trying to do was to do what was best for the organization. Unfortunately, it was time to move on."

Franklin lost his closing job earlier this year after blowing three saves in the first 10 days of the season and then failing to find his way as a long reliever. St. Louis’ bullpen is still struggling, but probably won’t be needed much on Thursday with Jaime Garcia on the hill.

PICK: Cardinals


Texas Rangers at Houston Astros (+120, 8)

If you’ve been following the Houston Astros this season – our sympathies – you’ll know that one of their only bright spots is center fielder Michael Bourn.

The speedster had a seven-game hit streak heading into Wednesday night’s action and has stolen 34 bases while being caught only three times this season.

"I feel pretty good so far," he said. "I feel like I have been doing a lot of running. Every now and then, I feel it in my legs and I'm careful in what I'm doing. I maybe take it easy in batting practice while running and work on whatever I'm doing so I can save it for the game because that's the most important part."

Without Bourn, Houston’s offense would be in real trouble. The Astros sit 29th in the league with only 44 homers this season.

They’ve really been rolling out the overs and that’s how we see this one playing out.

PICK: Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA NEW AND NOTES
WNBA: Liberty-Dream Preview

New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream (-4.5, 163)

The New York Liberty have struggled to find any sort of consistency through eight games, though it appears Cappie Pondexter has after four straight 20-point performances.

Facing the Atlanta Dream should help Pondexter and her teammates recall their worst performance of the first month.

Pondexter scored a season-low seven points and the Liberty were routed by 21 earlier this month by the Dream, a defeat they'll look to avenge as they seek a third straight victory Thursday night in Atlanta.

New York (4-4) began its season with a pair of wins, the first a 94-88 victory at Philips Arena as Plenette Pierson scored 25 points.

The Liberty, though, went on to lose four straight, including a 79-58 home loss to Atlanta (2-7) on June 14. Angel McCoughtry, who missed the teams' first meeting with a sprained left knee, led the way with 18 points for the Dream while Pondexter missed nine of her 12 shots.

Pondexter has bounced back, and in her last two games, she's helped her team do the same. The four-time All-Star had 23 points and 10 assists in a 94-82 win at Tulsa last Thursday, and finished with 22 points, seven rebounds and five assists in a 77-67 victory over visiting Los Angeles on Sunday.

Pondexter was named Eastern Conference player of the week Monday, receiving the award for the 11th time - fourth most in WNBA history.

New York's win over the Sparks was its first in three tries at Newark's Prudential Center, its home the next three summers while Madison Square Garden undergoes renovations.

"Our players have to get a comfort here. ... We need to establish we can win here," coach John Whisenant said. "We need to win at home and make people afraid to come into Prudential to play the Liberty.''

As New York knows, the Dream certainly haven't made Philips Arena an intimidating venue for visitors. Atlanta fell to 1-5 on its home court - 1-3 during its five-game homestand - with a 92-86 loss to San Antonio on Sunday.

That defeat may have stung the most. The Dream led 78-71 after Coco Miller's free throw with 5:02 to go, but fell apart from there - though coach Marynell Meadors didn't seem particularly upset.

"I thought our effort was absolutely perfect,'' Meadors said. "In the last two minutes, we had a chance to win the game, but we just didn't."

Meadors may be happy with her team's effort, but she can't be too pleased with its lack of accuracy. Atlanta is shooting 39.8 percent from the field, 25.2 percent from 3-point range and 67.7 percent from the free-throw line - all league lows.

The Liberty (17.8) and the Dream (17.3) rank first and second in forced turnovers.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

LADY LUCK

Thursday's Best WNBA Bets

New York Liberty at Atlanta Dream (-4.5, 163)

If you like betting look-ahead spots, keep this matchup in mind.

The Liberty are pegged as 4.5-point underdogs Wednesday with another big matchup scheduled against the league-leading San Antonio Silver Stars the following night.

The only thing is, the Dream are just terrible to their supporters. They have covered only once in eight games.

This is the last of a five-game home stand for Atlanta and they have allowed at least 90 points in three of those contests and the club hasn’t covered a spread at home yet this season.

New York should win this one outright, but tomorrow’s a different story all together.

PICK: New York


Minnesota Ly*x at Tulsa Shock (7, 159)

It’s back to the drawing board for the league-worst Tulsa Shock.

They waived center Jacinta Monroe on Tuesday after she went scoreless in four with games with the club. The Shock hoped she would also provide a defensive presence in the middle but she didn’t a single shot either.

Monroe was the No. 6 pick in the 2010 draft, so Tulsa was obviously expecting a lot more from her. However, the same could be said about a lot of players on the Shock’s roster.

Tulsa is averaging just over 72 points per game and allows more than 84, so it’s actually surprising they have managed to cover in five of their nine games. Meanwhile, Minnesota has lost two straight but that isn’t getting the club down.

"Our (swagger) hasn't been shot down — just weakened," guard Candice Wiggins said after losing to Indiana. "In fact, I think teams should fear that because ... we have so many weapons and so much confidence."

Against a scrappy Minnesota club that’s tough inside and on the glass, the Shock won’t be so lucky this time.

PICK: Minnesota

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday’s Betting Tips: Peavy Starts On Short Rest

Who's Hot

MLB: The over has cashed in on nine of Milwaukee’s last 13.

MLB: San Francisco is 21-7 in its last 28 as a favorite.

WNBA: Minnesota has covered in seven of its last 10 road games.

Who’s Not

MLB: The Mets have won two of Mike Pelrey’s last eight starts.

MLB: The Pirates have won only eight of their last 30 games on astroturf.

WNBA: Atlanta is just 1-8 against the spread this season.

Key Stat

25 – Maria Sharapova has yet to be really tested as she heads into her Wimbledon semifinal match against as a -300 favorite. Sharapova, has lost just 25 games so far and is also pegged as the tournament’s outright favorite at +120.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Chipper Jones, Atlanta Braves - The knee injury Jones has been playing through may be more serious than originally thought. Jones sat out Wednesday’s game and the team plans to rest him for a couple of days, hoping he won’t need surgery. Jones has just three hits over the last six games.

Game Of The Day

Boston Red Sox at Philadelphia Phillies (-125, 7.5)

Notable Quotable

"Your body is a machine a little bit. It makes noises. So for me it's perfectly natural now. I really have to exhale with that to move, to hit the shot. It's not that I want to piss somebody off. It's just natural." - Victoria Azarenka about all the fuss her grunting is making at Wimbledon. She’s set as a +100 favorite against Petra Kvitova in the other women’s semifinal.

Tips And Notes

Jake Peavy will start Thursday for the Chicago White Sox against Colorado even though he threw 4 1/3 innings of relief Saturday against Washington. Peavy reportedly flew his massage therapist to Denver to help him recuperate and isn’t concerned about fatigue. "My biggest thing was that I wanted to pitch twice more (before the end of the first half), and I wanted to pitch in the division twice more by staying on schedule," Peavy told reporters. Peavy is 4-1 on the year and is currently set around -110 for Thursday’s game.

Carlos Beltran is open to a trade from the New York Mets if it means he’s heading to a contending team. Now that he has openly stated that he’d be OK with a move, this could give some weight to the rumors that have been floating around the Mets’ clubhouse for weeks. He’s unlikely to be re-signed after the season, so this may move quickly. “You take a piece like [Beltran] out of the lineup, and you better have something to replace it with,” manager Terry Collins said.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JIMMYTHEGENT SPORTS

NEW YORK METS ML +200.
yes u can say im nuts, but my hunches have been good in recent weeks.
this is such an inflated "line" never seen since the days of john belushi, mets bats have lit up the competiton lately in scoring 52 runs in there last 4 games. granted it came against inferior pitching, but what this does for a teams moral can sometimes work wonders. but taking the mets today to win is quite a tall a task . detroit ace verlander has only given up 4 runs in the MONTH of june,he is putting up cy young #s and just about looks unstoppable. but as i have learned from experience, nothing is ever a sure thing, they still have to play the game, specially in a sport like baseball, every now and then a heavy favorite of -220 or more ****s the bed. the odds are heavily stacked with pelfrey going on the road as his team is only 1-8 in his starts.but the mets are 3-3 this year as a dog of +220 or more , so they have done this 3 other times , call it a hunch but i like the value in mets, im sure i will be the only person in the world that holding a met ml ticket. im also sure this will be on everyones parlay tickets, im just saying be careful. METS +210 IS THE PLAY

COLORADO /CHISOX OVER 9 EVEN

here is one the public will have, and if everything falls into place should win easily. the last two games have gone under, which was expected but this time i have to roll with the over 9. colorado at home in day games this year have been an over machine to say the least. although peavy has good UNDER #'S vs the rocks, he has been slumping of late and has gone over on the road in all 3 starts this year. in his only start IN colorado he lost 6-3 . facing peavy will be aaron cook, who is by all means , not much of all-star caliper, although he has never given up a homerun this year, he does have an era over 5 this year. not to mention peavys 5.10 era on the road, i like my chances of this one getting over the hump. OVER 9 COLORADO IS THE PLAY.

PITT/TORONTO OVER 8.5 -115
cant help but think this one gets over by the 3rd inning, it was only a short time ago that toronto was hitting the ball so good, and now they have slowed down to somewhat , something has to give, and i think the toronto bats come to life tonight. if not bret cecil will get lit up like a xmas tree and the game still goes over. either way OVER 8.5 TORONTO IS THE PLAY

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

666- 505 57 % Run over 3 YEARS

Free one Thurs Red Sox + 120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Indians Wednesday.

Thursday it's the Phillies. The deficit is 2,398 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo made rare use of his broom last night as he swept with the Phillies and White Sox to lower the deficit to 1,460 hallers.

Today, he expects San Fran to show that plucky, Cain-do spirit against the Cubs -- 10 units on the Gi ants to slam Zam.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Play Thursday

Pirates+125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Play of the Day:

Rangers -140 over Astros

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Soccer Crusher
Play of the Day:

AtleticoMG + Internacional OVER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

San Francisco at Chicago Cubs

The Giants look to bounce back from yesterday's 2-1 loss and build on their 5-1 record in Matt Cain's last 6 starts against the Cubs. San Francisco is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Cubs favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4" width="538"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">THURSDAY, JUNE 30
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 951-952: San Francisco at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 15.758; Cubs (Zambrano) 14.291
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-120); N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 953-954: Milwaukee at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Wolf) 16.600; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.020
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+170); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 955-956: NY Mets at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Pelfrey) 15.144; Detroit (Verlander) 15.919
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-220); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-220); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 957-958: Boston at Philadelphia (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.992; Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.987
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 959-960: Chicago White Sox at Colorado (3:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 14.472; Colorado (Cook) 16.155
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-105); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 961-962: Florida at Oakland (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.811; Oakland (Cahill) 14.588
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 7
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+145); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 963-964: St. Louis at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Garcia) 14.716; Baltimore (Matusz) 13.656
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 965-966: Pittsburgh at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 15.175; Toronto (Cecil) 16.229
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-135); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="522" height="17">Game 967-968: Texas at Houston (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 14.849; Houston (Rodriguez) 13.584
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 5px;" width="522">
</td> </tr> <tr> </tr></tbody></table>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsbook Investing
Play of the Day:

Rangers -140 over Astros

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Tulsa

The Lynx look to bounce back from a 78-75 loss to Indiana and build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games following a SU loss. Minnesota is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lynx favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.
<table cellpadding="4" cellspacing="4"><tbody><tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt; width: 206pt;" width="274" height="17">THURSDAY, JUNE 30
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 651-652: New York at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.583; Atlanta 113.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3; 167
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 164
Dunkel Pick: New York (+4); Over</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 12.75pt;" width="564" height="17">Game 653-654: Minnesota at Tulsa (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 115.037; Tulsa 102.251
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 13; 153
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 7 1/2; 158
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-7 1/2); Under</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="height: 5px;" width="566">
</td> </tr> <tr> </tr></tbody></table>

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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